At the Water's Edge

At the Water's Edge

Exploring American Security Policy

The At the Water’s Edge Podcast explores national security and geopolitics from an insider’s perspective, looking at how national power, industrial policy, diplomacy, and military might shape our world and America’s place in it.

Trump Thought Iran Would Collapse. He Was Wrong. | Trita Parsi
At the Water's EdgeJune 05, 202600:46:13

Trump Thought Iran Would Collapse. He Was Wrong. | Trita Parsi

President Trump thought Iran would collapse quickly. According to Dr. Trita Parsi, that assumption may be one of the central miscalculations that pulled the United States deeper into war. In this episode of At the Water’s Edge, Scott Kelly speaks with Dr. Trita Parsi, co-founder and Executive Vice P...

Bombing and Talking at the Same Time | Robert Pape on Iran and the Escalation Trap
At the Water's EdgeJune 02, 202600:28:17

Bombing and Talking at the Same Time | Robert Pape on Iran and the Escalation Trap

This is the latest episode in The Escalation Trap, an ongoing series with Robert Pape of the University of Chicago tracking the war with Iran in real time. After two weeks of ceasefire claims, strikes, and renewed negotiations, Pape argues that the conflict is not moving toward real stability. Inste...

Former NASA Chief: America Has Lost the Meaning of Power | Iran, Artemis II & U.S. Decline
At the Water's EdgeMay 21, 202601:08:38

Former NASA Chief: America Has Lost the Meaning of Power | Iran, Artemis II & U.S. Decline

Former NASA Administrator and Secretary of the Navy Sean O’Keefe returns to At the Water’s Edge for a conversation about American power, strategy, space, war, and national identity. At a moment when the United States is confronting conflict with Iran while also advancing the Artemis program, O’Keefe...

The War That Ends American Dominance | Robert Pape on Iran
At the Water's EdgeMay 19, 202600:37:25

The War That Ends American Dominance | Robert Pape on Iran

The war with Iran may be more than another crisis in the Middle East. In this latest installment of The Escalation Trap, Robert Pape argues that the conflict is becoming a hinge event — almost the inverse of the 1991 Gulf War. Instead of demonstrating American military dominance, this war may be rev...

Former NSC Official: The Iran War Exposed America’s Broken Strategy | Negah Angha
At the Water's EdgeMay 07, 202600:50:44

Former NSC Official: The Iran War Exposed America’s Broken Strategy | Negah Angha

Former State Department senior advisor and National Security Council official Negah Angha joins At the Water’s Edge to discuss what the war with Iran reveals about American strategy, alliances, and decision-making. Angha explains how major national security decisions are supposed to move through the...

The U.S. Is Losing Control | Robert Pape on Iran, China, and the Escalation Trap
At the Water's EdgeMay 05, 202600:42:32

The U.S. Is Losing Control | Robert Pape on Iran, China, and the Escalation Trap

This is Part 7 of The Escalation Trap, an ongoing series with Robert Pape of the University of Chicago tracking the war with Iran in real time. This week, the Trump administration announced Project Freedom, an effort to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by escorting ships through the waterway. At the same...

Are We Already in World War III? Ukraine, Iran, and the New Global Conflict | Paul Poast
At the Water's EdgeApril 29, 202601:05:28

Are We Already in World War III? Ukraine, Iran, and the New Global Conflict | Paul Poast

Are the wars in Ukraine and Iran separate conflicts—or part of something larger? In this episode of At the Water’s Edge, Scott sits down with Paul Poast, Associate Professor at the University of Chicago, to unpack his argument that we may already be living in a new era of “world war.” Rather than a ...

“NATO Is Dead” — Robert Pape on Iran and the New Power Map
At the Water's EdgeApril 28, 202600:43:45

“NATO Is Dead” — Robert Pape on Iran and the New Power Map

This is Part 6 of an ongoing series with Robert Pape (University of Chicago) tracking the Iran conflict in real time. Over the past week, we saw renewed efforts to restart negotiations—including a Pakistan-backed diplomatic push—but no meaningful progress. Ceasefires continue to be announced and col...

Special Forces Aren’t Ready for Drone Warfare | John Kowalski
At the Water's EdgeApril 22, 202600:54:28

Special Forces Aren’t Ready for Drone Warfare | John Kowalski

Drones are already reshaping modern warfare—from Ukraine to the Red Sea to the Strait of Hormuz. In this episode, Scott sits down with U.S. Army Special Forces Major John Kowalski to break down what that means for the future of conflict—and whether America is ready for it. Drawing on real-world exam...

This Isn’t a Negotiation | Robert Pape on the Iran War
At the Water's EdgeApril 21, 202600:32:33

This Isn’t a Negotiation | Robert Pape on the Iran War

This is Part 5 of an ongoing series with Robert Pape (University of Chicago) analyzing the Iran conflict in real time. Over the past week, multiple ceasefires were announced—and just as quickly fell apart. At the same time, the U.S. and Iran have continued escalating pressure through a de facto bloc...